The Future of the Global Muslim Population

An Interactive Feature

GRAPHIC • January 2011

Tables: Muslim Population by Country | Muslim Population Growth by Country

Muslim Population Growth by Country

Country	Estimated 1990 Muslim Population	Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 1990-2010	Estimated 2010 Muslim Population	Projected Percentage Increase in Muslim Population from 2010-2030*	Projected 2030 Muslim Population*
Afghanistan	12,551,000	131.4	29,047,000	73.9	50,527,000
Albania	2,302,000	13.0	2,601,000	9.2	2,841,000
Algeria	24,860,000	39.9	34,780,000	26.3	43,915,000
American Samoa	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Andorra	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	0.0	1,000
Angola	40,000	^	195,000	60.0	312,000
Anguilla	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Antigua and Barbuda	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Argentina	444,000	125.2	1,000,000	23.3	1,233,000
Armenia	128,000	-99.2	1,000	0.0	1,000
Aruba	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Australia	154,000	159.1	399,000	78.9	714,000
Austria	161,000	195.0	475,000	68.2	799,000
Azerbaijan	5,635,000	56.1	8,795,000	15.5	10,162,000
Bahamas	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Bahrain	403,000	62.5	655,000	34.5	881,000
Bangladesh	102,103,000	45.5	148,607,000	26.2	187,506,000
Barbados	< 1,000	100.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Belarus	10,000	90.0	19,000	-10.5	17,000
Belgium	266,000	139.8	638,000	80.1	1,149,000
Belize	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Benin	982,000	130.0	2,259,000	67.2	3,777,000
Bermuda	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Bhutan	6,000	16.7	7,000	28.6	9,000
Bolivia	1,000	100.0	2,000	50.0	3,000
Bosnia-Herzegovina	1,843,000	-15.1	1,564,000	-3.9	1,503,000
Botswana	3,000	166.7	8,000	25.0	10,000
Brazil	145,000	40.7	204,000	11.3	227,000
British Virgin Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Brunei	173,000	22.0	211,000	34.6	284,000
Bulgaria	1,155,000	-13.2	1,002,000	1.4	1,016,000
Burkina Faso	4,807,000	99.7	9,600,000	71.7	16,480,000
Burma (Myanmar)	654,000	190.5	1,900,000	17.5	2,233,000
Burundi	90,000	104.4	184,000	40.2	258,000
Cambodia	233,000	3.0	240,000	33.3	320,000
Cameroon	2,691,000	33.7	3,598,000	52.3	5,481,000
Canada	313,000	200.3	940,000	183.1	2,661,000
Cape Verde	7,000	-85.7	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Cayman Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Central African Republic	234,000	72.2	403,000	36.5	550,000
Chad	3,291,000	94.6	6,404,000	57.5	10,086,000
Channel Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Chile	< 1,000	300.0	4,000	25.0	5,000
China	16,839,000	38.4	23,308,000	28.5	29,949,000
Colombia	119,000	^	14,000	21.4	17,000
Comoros	431,000	57.5	679,000	41.2	959,000
Congo	473,000	104.9	969,000	60.2	1,552,000
Cook Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Costa Rica	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Croatia	52,000	7.7	56,000	-3.6	54,000
Cuba	6,000	66.7	10,000	0.0	10,000
Cyprus	2,000	^	200,000	20.0	240,000
Czech Republic	1,000	300.0	4,000	0.0	4,000
Denmark	109,000	107.3	226,000	40.3	317,000
Djibouti	504,000	69.2	853,000	35.6	1,157,000
Dominica	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Dominican Republic	1,000	100.0	2,000	50.0	3,000
Ecuador	1,000	100.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Egypt	53,884,000	48.5	80,024,000	31.3	105,065,000
El Salvador	1,000	100.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Equatorial Guinea	11,000	154.5	28,000	53.6	43,000
Eritrea	1,219,000	56.6	1,909,000	54.8	2,955,000
Estonia	9,000	-77.8	2,000	0.0	2,000
Ethiopia	15,827,000	81.5	28,721,000	54.8	44,466,000
Faeroe Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Federated States of Micronesia	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Fiji	58,000	-6.9	54,000	7.4	58,000
Finland	11,000	281.8	42,000	150.0	105,000
France	568,000	^	4,704,000	45.8	6,860,000
French Guiana	1,000	100.0	2,000	50.0	3,000
French Polynesia	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Gabon	31,000	^	145,000	68.3	244,000
Gambia	780,000	114.0	1,669,000	56.2	2,607,000
Georgia	625,000	^	442,000	-2.0	433,000
Germany	2,506,000	64.4	4,119,000	34.6	5,545,000
Ghana	2,245,000	74.0	3,906,000	62.6	6,350,000
Gibraltar	2,000	-50.0	1,000	0.0	1,000
Greece	254,000	107.5	527,000	46.5	772,000
Greenland	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Grenada	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Guadeloupe	3,000	-33.3	2,000	0.0	2,000
Guam	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Guatemala	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	100.0	2,000
Guinea	4,241,000	105.0	8,693,000	63.7	14,227,000
Guinea Bissau	388,000	81.7	705,000	53.9	1,085,000
Guyana	67,000	-17.9	55,000	-7.3	51,000
Haiti	2,000	0.0	2,000	50.0	3,000
Honduras	6,000	83.3	11,000	36.4	15,000
Hong Kong	57,000	59.6	91,000	15.4	105,000
Hungary	17,000	47.1	25,000	-4.0	24,000
Iceland	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
India	100,873,000	75.8	177,286,000	33.2	236,182,000
Indonesia	154,680,000	32.4	204,847,000	16.6	238,833,000
Iran	56,506,000	32.4	74,819,000	19.8	89,626,000
Iraq	17,356,000	79.2	31,108,000	55.4	48,350,000
Ireland	15,000	186.7	43,000	190.7	125,000
Isle of Man	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Israel	634,000	103.0	1,287,000	65.9	2,135,000
Italy	858,000	84.5	1,583,000	102.1	3,199,000
Ivory Coast	4,880,000	63.1	7,960,000	63.0	12,977,000
Jamaica	3,000	-66.7	1,000	0.0	1,000
Japan	118,000	56.8	185,000	-7.6	171,000
Jordan	3,149,000	103.1	6,397,000	33.1	8,516,000
Kazakhstan	8,391,000	5.9	8,887,000	9.5	9,728,000
Kenya	1,406,000	104.0	2,868,000	91.2	5,485,000
Kiribati	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Kosovo	1,955,000	7.6	2,104,000	-0.2	2,100,000
Kuwait	1,966,000	34.1	2,636,000	40.1	3,692,000
Kyrgyzstan	2,449,000	101.2	4,927,000	24.6	6,140,000
Laos	1,000	0.0	1,000	100.0	2,000
Latvia	3,000	-33.3	2,000	0.0	2,000
Lebanon	1,784,000	42.5	2,542,000	14.2	2,902,000
Lesotho	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	0.0	1,000
Liberia	312,000	67.6	523,000	57.7	825,000
Libya	4,278,000	47.8	6,325,000	30.2	8,232,000
Liechtenstein	< 1,000	100.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Lithuania	7,000	-57.1	3,000	-33.3	2,000
Luxembourg	3,000	266.7	11,000	27.3	14,000
Macau	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Madagascar	106,000	107.5	220,000	40.5	309,000
Malawi	1,512,000	33.0	2,011,000	65.4	3,326,000
Malaysia	8,870,000	93.2	17,139,000	32.7	22,752,000
Maldives	216,000	43.1	309,000	28.2	396,000
Mali	8,104,000	52.0	12,316,000	53.0	18,840,000
Malta	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	0.0	1,000
Marshall Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Martinique	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Mauritania	1,968,000	69.6	3,338,000	42.3	4,750,000
Mauritius	172,000	25.6	216,000	9.3	236,000
Mayotte	90,000	118.9	197,000	51.3	298,000
Mexico	60,000	85.0	111,000	13.5	126,000
Moldova	4,000	275.0	15,000	-13.3	13,000
Monaco	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Mongolia	211,000	^	120,000	20.0	144,000
Montenegro	94,000	23.4	116,000	17.2	136,000
Montserrat	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Morocco	24,560,000	31.8	32,381,000	21.2	39,259,000
Mozambique	1,761,000	^	5,340,000	44.8	7,733,000
Namibia	4,000	125.0	9,000	50.0	12,000
Nauru	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Nepal	688,000	82.1	1,253,000	36.1	1,705,000
Netherlands	344,000	165.7	914,000	49.3	1,365,000
Netherlands Antilles	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	1,000
New Caledonia	6,000	16.7	7,000	28.6	9,000
New Zealand	7,000	485.7	41,000	146.3	101,000
Nicaragua	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	0.0	1,000
Niger	7,801,000	100.3	15,627,000	104.9	32,022,000
Nigeria	46,302,000	63.6	75,728,000	54.3	116,832,000
Niue	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
North Korea	1,000	200.0	3,000	0.0	3,000
Northern Mariana Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Norway	54,000	166.7	144,000	149.3	359,000
Oman	1,616,000	57.6	2,547,000	39.3	3,549,000
Pakistan	112,303,000	58.6	178,097,000	43.8	256,117,000
Palau	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Palestinian territories	2,111,000	103.6	4,298,000	66.0	7,136,000
Panama	109,000	^	25,000	28.0	32,000
Papua New Guinea	1,000	100.0	2,000	50.0	3,000
Paraguay	< 1,000	0.0	1,000	100.0	2,000
Peru	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Philippines	2,872,000	64.9	4,737,000	49.8	7,094,000
Pitcairn Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Poland	6,000	233.3	20,000	-5.0	19,000
Portugal	10,000	550.0	65,000	0.0	65,000
Puerto Rico	1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Qatar	423,000	176.1	1,168,000	29.4	1,511,000
Republic of Congo	26,000	130.8	60,000	46.7	88,000
Republic of Macedonia	441,000	61.7	713,000	13.9	812,000
Reunion	14,000	150.0	35,000	20.0	42,000
Romania	46,000	58.7	73,000	0.0	73,000
Russia	13,634,000	20.1	16,379,000	13.3	18,556,000
Rwanda	170,000	10.6	188,000	93.1	363,000
Samoa	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
San Marino	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Sao Tome and Principe	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Saudi Arabia	16,096,000	58.4	25,493,000	39.2	35,497,000
Senegal	7,086,000	74.0	12,333,000	51.9	18,739,000
Serbia	412,000	-32.0	280,000	34.6	377,000
Seychelles	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Sierra Leone	2,042,000	104.3	4,171,000	56.5	6,527,000
Singapore	464,000	55.4	721,000	12.8	813,000
Slovakia	< 1,000	300.0	4,000	0.0	4,000
Slovenia	29,000	69.0	49,000	0.0	49,000
Solomon Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Somalia	6,530,000	41.4	9,231,000	68.2	15,529,000
South Africa	525,000	40.4	737,000	8.4	799,000
South Korea	43,000	74.4	75,000	1.3	76,000
Spain	271,000	276.8	1,021,000	82.1	1,859,000
Sri Lanka	1,383,000	24.7	1,725,000	8.8	1,876,000
St. Helena	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
St. Kitts and Nevis	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
St. Lucia	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
St. Pierre and Miquelon	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
St. Vincent and the Grenadines	1,000	100.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Sudan	19,506,000	58.2	30,855,000	41.2	43,573,000
Suriname	57,000	47.4	84,000	14.3	96,000
Swaziland	4,000	-50.0	2,000	0.0	2,000
Sweden	147,000	206.8	451,000	120.2	993,000
Switzerland	148,000	192.6	433,000	53.1	663,000
Syria	11,067,000	88.8	20,895,000	35.8	28,374,000
Taiwan	97,000	^	23,000	8.7	25,000
Tajikistan	4,086,000	71.5	7,006,000	36.0	9,525,000
Tanzania	7,637,000	76.1	13,450,000	44.7	19,463,000
Thailand	2,324,000	70.1	3,952,000	7.8	4,261,000
Timor-Leste	39,000	-97.4	1,000	100.0	2,000
Togo	449,000	84.2	827,000	49.2	1,234,000
Tokelau	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Tonga	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Trinidad and Tobago	72,000	8.3	78,000	2.6	80,000
Tunisia	8,133,000	27.2	10,349,000	16.9	12,097,000
Turkey	55,121,000	35.4	74,660,000	19.4	89,127,000
Turkmenistan	2,881,000	67.7	4,830,000	21.2	5,855,000
Turks and Caicos Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Tuvalu	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
U.S. Virgin Islands	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Uganda	1,862,000	118.0	4,060,000	63.9	6,655,000
Ukraine	103,000	^	393,000	3.8	408,000
United Arab Emirates	1,624,000	120.3	3,577,000	39.3	4,981,000
United Kingdom	1,172,000	144.8	2,869,000	94.0	5,567,000
United States	1,529,000	69.7	2,595,000	139.5	6,216,000
Uruguay	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Uzbekistan	19,392,000	38.4	26,833,000	22.1	32,760,000
Vanuatu	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Vatican City	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Venezuela	44,000	115.9	95,000	27.4	121,000
Vietnam	662,000	^	160,000	18.8	190,000
Wallis and Futuna	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000	0.0	< 1,000
Western Sahara	221,000	138.9	528,000	54.5	816,000
Yemen	12,191,000	97.1	24,023,000	62.2	38,973,000
Zambia	33,000	78.8	59,000	59.3	94,000
Zimbabwe	94,000	16.0	109,000	42.2	155,000

Population estimates are rounded to thousands. Percentages are calculated from unrounded numbers.

* These figures are projections. The projections presented in this report are the medium figures in a range of three scenarios – high, medium and low – generated from models commonly used by demographers around the world to forecast changes in population size and composition. The models follow what is known as the cohort-component method, which starts with a baseline population (in this case, the current number of Muslims in each country) divided into groups, or cohorts, by age and sex. Each cohort is projected into the future by adding likely gains – new births and immigrants – and subtracting likely losses – deaths and emigrants. These calculations were made by the Pew Forum’s demographers, who collaborated with researchers at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria on the projections for the United States and European countries. (From the Executive Summary of The Future of the Global Muslim Population. For more details, see the Full Report and Methodology.)

^ A note on historical data
This interactive feature provides estimates for 1990 and 2000 based on national censuses, demographic and health surveys, and general population surveys and studies available for those years. However, the sources for 1990 appear to have substantially understated the actual number of Muslims in Angola, Cyprus, France, Gabon, Mozambique and Ukraine, while substantially overstating the number in Colombia, Georgia, Mongolia, Panama, Taiwan and Vietnam. The 2000 estimates appear to have undercounted Muslims in Cyprus, France, Guatemala, Hungary, Slovakia and Vietnam, while overcounting the number in Laos, Lesotho and Taiwan. These likely undercounts and overcounts should be taken into consideration when looking at growth rates, particularly in the affected countries. The number of Muslims in Vietnam, for example, may not have dropped from 1990 to 2000 and then climbed rapidly from 2000 to 2010; rather, the 1990 figure was probably too high an estimate, and the 2000 figure may have been too low. These problems in the historical data are a reminder that new censuses and surveys sometimes contradict older ones. This report and interactive feature are based on the best data available as of mid-2010.

A note on the Asia-Pacific map
Arrows next to some island countries indicate that their correct geographic locations are outside the borders of the map.

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